2019 Third Quarter Commentary
Fall is the time of year when most investors find their way back from their summertime pursuits, roll up their sleeves and get back to work. This year finds us all with a lot of information to digest and more…
Untangling the Challenges of Aging | A Symposium
We’re proud to co-present at this upcoming symposium in partnership with Willamette Valley Hospice. Join us for an informative morning session on the later years of life. Your choice of engaging sessions: • Legal Issues with Aging • Oregon’s Death…
The Pros and Cons of Retirement “Rules”
When investing for retirement, you’re likely to hear a lot of well-meaning guidance from family, friends, and others offering advice — even the media. As you weigh the potential benefits of any commonly cited investment rules, consider that most are…
Women’s Worth | Planning Seminar for Women
As women, we tend to spend much of our time caring for others. Planning ahead for life’s inevitable rough spots is one of the best ways we can care for ourselves and the ones we love. Women’s Worth is a…
How Will the Recent Attack on Saudi Oil Facilitates Affect Energy and Financial Markets?
Due to experiences in the past, especially in the 1970s, many investors have been conditioned to expect the worst when oil supplies are threatened. While trends in oil demand tend to be far more persistent, and are largely affected by…
September 2019 Fed Meeting | Another 0.25% Drop
As expected, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee lowered the fed funds rate a second time by 0.25%, to a new range of 1.75-2.00%. There were a few dissents, strangely in opposite directions, with one member wanting a larger 0.50%…
Do I Need Life Insurance?
We’ve all heard about the importance of having life insurance, but is it really necessary? Often, the answer is “yes,” but it depends on your specific situation. In general, you should consider life insurance protection if any of the following…
Team Update | Q3 2019
Our connection to our client families continues to humble us. This summer, we were welcomed into the homes of many of them. We celebrated graduations, toasted dream homes and shared in the loss of some dear friends. We continue to…
What Does the Yield Curve Suggest About Growth?
On August 14, 2019, the Dow Jones Industrial Avenue plunged 800 points, losing 3% of its value in its biggest drop of the year. The Nasdaq Composite also lost 3%, while the S&P 500 lost 2.9%.1 The slide started with…
Data Breaches | Tips to Protect Your Identity and Money
Large-scale data breaches are in the news again, but that’s hardly surprising. Breaches have become more frequent — a byproduct of living in an increasingly digital world. During the first six months of 2019, the Identity Theft Resource Center (ITRC),…
Geopolitical Tensions, Oil Prices and The Economy
Conflict in the Persian Gulf has spurred modest oil price volatility in recent weeks, but prices didn’t spike to high levels seen during some past conflicts. That’s partly because rising U.S. oil production has shaken up the global oil market…
The Most Volatile Day of 2019 (Thus Far) | Commentary
Today, the U.S. equity markets experienced their worst day of the year, with the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq all falling roughly -3%. While such days are historically common and not necessarily noteworthy, the lack of volatility experienced over the past…
Time to Review Your Tax Withholding
The IRS continues to encourage taxpayers to review the amount of tax they have withheld to avoid an unexpected tax surprise when they file their 2019 tax returns next year. Preliminary 2018 tax filing data seems to show the need…
Saving for College: The Oregon College Savings Plan
It’s that time of year again – back to school sales, bus drivers practicing their routes, and staff getting classrooms ready for their new students. These are the early reminders that the first day of school is just around the…
July 2019 Fed Meeting | Interest Rate Cut 0.25%
The July FOMC meeting resulted in a 0.25% reduction in the federal funds rate, to a new range of 2.00-2.25%. The policy vote was far from unanimous, with eight members supporting the change, and the Fed presidents from Kansas City…
The Effect of Raising the Minimum Wage
The federal minimum wage (FMW), currently $7.25 per hour, hasn’t increased since 2009—the longest stretch with no federal increases since 1938, when the minimum wage was created. Several presidential candidates as well as proposed House Bill H.R. 582, Raise the…
New IRS Guidance on Your Tax Refund
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 included a $10,000 ($5,000 if married filing separately) cap on the amount of state and local taxes that can be claimed as an itemized deduction on Schedule A of Form 1040. If…
Using a 529 Plan to Save for College
With the costs of college on the rise, establishing a savings plan early is vital. A 529 plan is a tax-advantaged education savings vehicle and one of the most popular ways to save for college today. It can also be…
History Repeating | 2019 Second Quarter Commentary
Happy Summer! The longest and warmest days of the year are here. The gardens all around town are beautiful, with riots of color against a backdrop of verdant green. In sitting down to write this, we thought about simply changing…
Portfolio Rebalancing and Reallocation
Portfolio Rebalancing Imagine you just bought a new car. You love how it looks and handles. You take it on long, beautiful drives together. When you take your car in to be serviced, you are asked if you want the…
US – China Trade War: Who Pays the Price?
On May 13, 2019, escalating trade tensions between the United States and China sparked a worldwide stock sell-off that wiped out more than $1 trillion in global equity values.1 The markets recovered over the next three days, but tensions between…
Team Update | Q2 2019
Spring is trying to spring here in Oregon, and for us, that meant several gatherings with our community friends, partners and client families. Between their Fine Art Auction, annual luncheon and Cinco de Micro Brewfest, we had fun supporting the…
Short Term Recovery Care
The decision of whether or not to purchase insurance for future healthcare expenses is an important one. Our team of CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professionals have helped many of our client families navigate this question. We weigh the impact that Long-Term…
June 2019 Fed Meeting | Key Takeaways
Following their June meeting yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) made no change to the 2.25-2.50% range for the fed funds rate. However, member appeared split on the outlook, with one member voting for a cut today, while others…
Market Cap vs. Market Value
When choosing an investment, there are a wide range of figures and numbers you can consider before making a decision. Things can get more complicated when you consider that you, other investors and professionals will put varying levels of emphasis…
Balancing Investment Risk with Growth Potential
Whether you have $100 or $1,000,000, you want to see your investment grow. Ideally, you would like to see that money grow a lot without the investment risk. Unfortunately, the risk/return tradeoff concept in investing tells us that greater returns…
Retirement Confidence Increases for Workers and Retirees
The 29th annual Retirement Confidence Survey (RCS), conducted by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) in 2019, found that two-thirds of U.S. workers (67%) are confident in their ability to live comfortably throughout their retirement years (up from 64% in…
Investing in Index Funds: 4 Things to Know
The popularity of investing in index funds has been gaining interest in recent years. Index mutual funds are not a new concept – they have been available for over four decades, and exchange-traded funds (“ETF”) for more than ten years.…
Making Sense of Your Taxes and Withholding
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which passed in December 2017, made fundamental changes to the U.S. tax code, and 2018 returns were the first time most taxpayers could see the practical impact of these changes. In an April…
Trade Tariffs and US Markets
It may not be as dramatic as laid out in several worst-case scenarios, but intensification of tensions doesn’t appear to be a positive. (On a historical basis generally, restricting trade typically doesn’t enhance prospects for either side, long-term.) While the…
How to Avoid Capital Gains Tax
Paying tax is an unavoidable reality of life. While tax dollars may fund important social programs, infrastructure, and services throughout society, that knowledge doesn’t always soothe the burn left behind by a big tax bill. Capital gains tax (tax that…
The Future of Social Security and Medicare
Most Americans will eventually receive Social Security and Medicare benefits. Each year, the Trustees of the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds release lengthy reports to Congress that assess the health of these important programs. The newest reports, released on…
May 2019 Fed Meeting
As predicted, yesterday’s FOMC meeting ended with no change in policy, with all members on board with keeping the fed funds rate within a range of 2.25-2.50%. The formal statement was very little changed, noting continued strength in the labor…
2019 Tax Scams
The IRS recently issued its annual list of tax scams. The list highlights various scams that taxpayers may encounter, many of which occur during tax filing season. Here are some of the scams that are highlighted on the list. Phishing…
Active vs. Passive Investing
One of the longest-standing debates in investing is over the relative merits of active portfolio management versus passive management. With an actively managed portfolio, a manager tries to beat the performance of a given benchmark index by using his or…
No Interest Rate Hikes Projected in 2019
At its meeting on March 20, 2019, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the benchmark federal funds rate at the target range of 2.25% to 2.50% that was set in December 2018. This in itself was not surprising. But…
A Timeshare | Does it Pay to Own One?
This time of year finds many of our client families vacationing somewhere near the equator. When they return home, they sometimes bring back more than just a tan, returning as an owner of a timeshare and unsure of whether or…
Tax Efficient Investments
It’s nice to own stocks, bonds, and other investments. Nice, that is, until it’s time to fill out your federal income tax return. At that point, you may be left scratching your head. Just how do you report your investments…
From Low to High | 2019 First Quarter Commentary
What a difference a few months can bring. The fourth quarter of last year was sure a tough one, with uncertainty and general angst pushing prices down significantly. The first quarter of 2019 was quite the opposite. Such is the…
Federal Income Tax Returns Due for Most
The federal income tax filing deadline for most individuals is Monday, April 15, 2019. Residents of Maine and Massachusetts have until Wednesday, April 17, to file their 2018 tax return because April 15 is Patriots’ Day and April 16 is…
Team Update | Q1 2019
Time is flying and we’ve buttoned up the first quarter of 2019. As is our custom, here’s a short update on what our team has been up to. Michelle has been delightedly occupied with getting a jump on the New…
How to Honor the Dying Process
When we consider our own mortality, most of us have a few wishes in common. We want to be in our own space, with people we love and avoid suffering. These requests feel obvious, almost like basic human rights. But,…
Where Do I Put Extra Money?
In the life of most working individuals, there’s a turning point, where you move from living paycheck to paycheck to finding a bit of extra money left in your account at the end of each month. What you do with…
March 2019 Fed Note
The March FOMC meeting ended as many predicted—with no change to the fed funds rate, which is currently set at 2.25-2.50%. Regardless, the meeting was closely watched in terms of how the Fed planned to communicate a stance on policy…
What’s changed since the market trough a decade ago?
Market watchers and strategists are big on anniversaries, so have been acknowledging that about 10 years ago, March 9, 2009, marked the end of the Great Recession bear market and beginning of the bull market run of the past decade.…
2019 Annual First Citizen’s Banquet
Since 1950, the Salem Chamber has honored those who exemplify servant leadership. These are individuals who, through their business, volunteering, and philanthropic efforts, improve the lives of those in the community by serving first. The First Citizen Awards Banquet recognizes individuals…
There’s Still Time to Contribute to an IRA for 2018
The following has been provided by Broadridge Investor Communications Solutions, Inc. Even though tax filing season is well under way, there’s still time to make a regular IRA contribution for 2018. You have until your tax return due date (not…
How do I report a QCD on my 2018 return?
For those of you with a charitable heart over 70.5, you might have donated to your favorite charity directly from your IRA last year. This gifting strategy, technically called a Qualified Charitable Distribution (QCD), has increased in popularity over the…
Women’s Worth Seminar | April 23, 2019
For the fourth time, our firm is thrilled to partner with Collier Law and Willamette Valley Hospice to bring Women’s Worth. This 2-hour seminar has been created by and for women. Why is this important? Here are a few unsettling…
Financial Opportunities for Veterans
As CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professionals, we are intimately familiar with the term ‘fiduciary.’ It means to put the best interests of others (in our case, our clients) above all else. It’s hard to imagine a job with more fiduciary responsibility…
Team Retreat 2019
At the start of every new year, our team sets aside a day to gather offsite. Yesterday, we celebrated the accomplishments of our firm and staff, analyzed the missed opportunities and set goals for the year ahead. Here are some…
Are We Destined for Recession?
Not necessarily in the immediate future—although the probabilities of one have moved higher in recent months—but at some point, yes. Based on a rough survey of indicators put forth by various sources, the odds of one happening in the next…
What Are the Costs of the Government Shutdown?
The longest government shutdown in U.S. history ended after 35 days on January 25, 2019. A temporary appropriations bill extended funding for shuttered federal agencies to February 15, 2019, while a bipartisan committee negotiates a new spending bill for the…
No Interest Rate Changes This Month
The FOMC unanimously decided on no policy action upon the conclusion of their January meeting, which was as expected. The formal statement noted continued strength in the labor market and economic activity rising at a ‘solid’ rate (downgraded from December’s…
2019 Financial Education Seminar
We had a wonderful time yesterday, welcoming a group of over 60 people to join us for our seminar, “Providing Financial Wisdom Leadership and Planning in Tumultuous Times.” 99% of those who RSVPed attended, which made for lively conversation and questions throughout. David…
The “Collection #1” Data Breach
Unfortunately, data breaches are a part of our high-tech world. Today, we learned of a new one. Touted by many technology outlets as the “Mother of All Breaches,” the “Collection #1” breach announced today exposed 2.6 billion email addresses and…
What Will You Pay for Medicare in 2019?
Medicare premiums, deductibles, and coinsurance amounts change annually. Here’s a look at some of the costs that will apply in 2019 if you’re enrolled in Original Medicare (Part A and Part B). Medicare Part B Premiums According to the Centers…
Top 3 Sparks of Recent Market Volatility
In the final quarter of 2018, interest rate and growth fears, along with geopolitical events, sparked volatility in the financial markets and reversed many of the outsize stock gains notched earlier in the year. The S&P 500 posted a loss…
Quarterly Update and Yearend Review | Q4 2018
It is times like these that test the most stalwart of investors. As you have probably noticed this last quarter was tough for investors of all stripes. Despite being a decade old, this has been the most “unloved” bull market…
I Heard There’s a Recession Coming. What Should I Do?
When we tell people that we’re CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professionals during times of market volatility, we get empathetic looks, paired with comments similar to, “Boy, that must be tough right now. Are your clients calling you in a panic?” This…
Are We in an Equity Bear Market?
Technically, we are right on the cusp. By definition, a ‘bear market’ in stocks occurs at the point of a -20% price drop from a recent peak—we’re within a percent or two from that threshold. Although this recent movement seems…
Year-End Charitable Giving
With the holiday season upon us and the end of the year approaching, we pause to give thanks for our blessings and the people in our lives. It is also a time when charitable giving often comes to mind. The…
Team Update | Q4 2018
Once a quarter, we share a little bit about what’s going on in the lives of our team. Here’s what the last three months looked like for us. Michelle spent the fall doing things she loves. She’s enjoyed several plays and…
Interest Rates Up Another 0.25%
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee raised the fed funds target rate by 0.25% to a new level of 2.25-2.50%. This was widely anticipated, with a high futures market probability of this outcome beforehand. There were no committee dissents. The…
Tax Planning in 2019
While opportunities for tax planning in 2018 are dwindling, it’s not too early to consider making adjustments for next year. The changes that accompanied the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) are coming into focus, and they are…
What has perpetuated this stretch of market weakness?
At the risk of being repetitive, many of the same issues as in the last installment, with resolution still hard to find. Tariffs/Trade Despite the positive market reaction to a 90-day deferral by the U.S. in implementing a 25% tariff…
Scam, Fraud and Elderly Protection
This fall, our team attended a seminar focused on Elder Abuse and Reporting. Besides learning about the laws, regulations and definitions associated with elder abuse, we were updated on common elder abuse and consumer scams. Due to accessibility during business…
The H Group’s Newest Team Member | Welcome Sarah!
We are happy to announce our newest team member, Sarah Sepulveda. As a client service specialist, Sarah will be working in depth on the administrative details of client accounts. Processing withdrawal requests, preparing paperwork for client meetings and proactively finding ways…
College Costs for 2018-2019
This fall, we helped several of our client families navigate the complexities of the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA). The College Board has released college cost data for the 2018-2019 school year in its annual Trends in College Pricing…
Financial Emergency Preparedness
The horrific wildfires impacting California serve an unfortunate reminder on the importance of preparing for a disaster. Operation Hope and FEMA have compiled an Emergency Financial First Aid Kit (EFFAK) to help you prepare financially and provide tips to reduce the…
Gratitude
Thanksgiving week can be just another week, full of commitments and business. Or, it can be a time of reflection. We chose the latter. This week, we took some time as a team to share our gratitude. Gratitude for…
How will the mid-term election results affect financial markets?
Unlike the surprise result in the presidential election two years ago, that fooled pollsters and statisticians both, last week’s mid-term election results were in line with predictions—although a few surprises still unfolded. The Republicans held their majority position in the…
Save the Date | Financial and Economic Update 2019
January brings about an opportunity to reset and reframe the year ahead. Join us for a free financial and economic update to get 2019 off to a great start. PROVIDING FINANCIAL WISDOM, LEADERSHIP AND PLANNING IN TUMULTUOUS TIMES When: January…
November Fed Meeting | No Change
As expected, the FOMC unanimously made no change in the fed funds target rate during the November meeting—leaving the level at 2.00-2.25%. Their formal statement offered few surprises, noting strength in underlying economic growth and labor markets. In keeping with…
Open Enrollment for Health Insurance Marketplaces
Beginning on November 1, 2018, individuals (including their families) may apply for new health insurance or switch to a different health-care plan through a Health Insurance Marketplace under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The open enrollment period for 2019 health…
Understanding Recent Market Volatility
The perception of the risk inherently associated with investing is ever-changing. When markets are strong and uncertainty is low, prices go up and market volatility is reduced. Of course, the opposite is true as well. Uncertain times and weak prospects…
Blockchain Buzz: Emerging Tech Offers Potential, Not Promises
Blockchain is a data structure used to create a digital ledger shared among a distributed network of computers. It was initially designed for the peer-to-peer exchange of the virtual currency bitcoin. However, businesses are now developing and testing some potentially…
Where should interest rates be?
Where should interest rates be? This has been pondered countless times over the last decade as the Fed imposed a monetary policy of extreme easing during the depths of the Great Recession, keeping interest rates near zero in subsequent years,…
Team Update | Q3 2018
Once a quarter, we take a few minutes to update you on what’s going on with our team. Here’s what has been happening in our world(s). Over the summer, Michelle spent a lot of time near or on the water: staying…
Fall Market Volatility
The current pull back in the stock market once again gives us an opportunity to remind everyone just how normal and frequent these events are. Since the end of September, the S&P 500 is down about 6.4% and the broader…
What is the Yield Curve?
The last few days of market turmoil may have you wondering, is a recession coming? One of many indicators that economists are watching is the yield curve. But what does it tell us? What is the yield curve? The yield curve…
The H Group Community Support | Steps to Safety 2018
Over the weekend, Brenna and I spent a part of our morning taking “Steps to Safety.” This was the name of the walk/run event hosted by the Center for Hope and Safety on Saturday morning. Part fundraiser, part awareness-builder, part…
2018 Third Quarter Market Commentary
We don’t know about you, but there are days when we envision getting far away from the news and the disquieting things we hear each day. Fortunately, and we’ve mentioned this before, the economy and the various capital markets don’t…
Medicare Open Enrollment Begins October 15
What is the Medicare Open Enrollment Period? The Medicare Open Enrollment Period is the time during which people with Medicare can make new choices and pick plans that work best for them. Each year, Medicare plan costs and coverage typically…
Interest Rates Increased Today
The FOMC decided to raise short-term interest rates by another quarter-percent—the third hike this year—bringing the fed funds target range to 2.00-2.25%. This was largely as expected, with formal probabilities of such a move being pegged at around 95% based…
NEDCO | Financial Foundations
Last week, I enjoyed leading a class for the Neighborhood Economic Development Corporation (NEDCO) and their Financial Foundation course. For more than 35 years, NEDCO has been building opportunities in our community. By supporting financial stability and responsible homeownership, providing…
5 Tips for Couples Approaching Retirement
When it comes to retirement, the most common concern we hear from our client couples isn’t usually related to their finances. It’s personal. Among the top for many long term couples? “How are my partner and I going to handle…
Should I Freeze My Child’s Credit
As of today, fees previously associated with a credit freeze have disappeared. This has renewed the conversation around placing a credit freeze and identity protection. Last fall in the wake of the Equifax data breach, we shared strategies for adults to protect…
Champions for Children 2018
It was our pleasure to serve as table captains at today’s Champions for Children luncheon. Liberty House Child Abuse Assessment Center holds this fundraising luncheon every fall in an effort to spread the word about the vital services they provide…
The Rise and Fall of Bitcoin
On December 18, 2017, our office posted an article titled, “What to Make of the Rise in Bitcoin and Other Cryptocurrencies?” On the previous day, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of nearly $20,000 – a price it has not seen…
Nazrudin 2018
Lifelong learners make the best financial planners. It’s a vital part of what makes us not only a knowledgeable resource, but a trustworthy partner for our clients. Every fall, a handful of these financial planners attend a unique retreat. Where thought…
Is Trouble Brewing in Emerging Markets (Again)?
Emerging markets have long been characterized by unique, idiosyncratic factors and higher volatility, especially compared to more established markets such as the U.S., Europe and Japan. This is true despite an expansion of opportunities and greater investor acceptance of these…
Why Should I Care About the Federal Budget Deficit?
According to the most recent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projection, the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2018 (which ends on September 30) will reach $793 billion, or 3.9% of gross domestic product (GDP). This figure is $230 billion larger…
Who Should Own the 529 Plan?
It’s no secret that a 529 plan offers tax advantaged growth for college expenses like tuition, books, supplies, etc. What isn’t as clear is who should own the account? The parent or the grandparent? As CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNERS™, we get…
Should I Delay My First Required Minimum Distribution?
As many of our client families approach age 70½, they begin to consider the impact their required minimum distribution will have on their income and tax liability. A common question that crosses their minds: Should I consider delaying my first required…
What is the current level of recession risk?
What is the current level of recession risk? It’s always prudent to ask these questions when conditions are benign, since that’s when the downside of the current good times is usually the most ignored. It seems everyone in the world…
Women’s Worth | October Financial and Estate Planning Seminar
For the past two years, I’ve had the great pleasure of teaming up with Willamette Valley Hospice and Collier Law. Together, we’ve brought the opportunity for knowledge and empowerment to women in our community. The last several seminars have been such a great success,…
The H Group Community Support | Oregon State Hospital
Last spring, my wife Laurie and I bid on an auction item at the Rotary Club of Salem dinner and auction. The package included and a private tour of the Oregon State Hospital Museum of Mental Health. We decided to take our team, and…
Why Does it Cost More to Fill Your Tank?
The Memorial Day weekend is usually the beginning of the summer driving season, and — not coincidentally — often a high point in the annual ups and downs of gas prices. This year, almost 37 million drivers hit the road…
What’s the latest on Social Security and Medicare Solvency?
Most Americans will receive Social Security and Medicare benefits at some point in their lives. For this reason, workers and retirees are concerned about potential program shortfalls that could affect future benefits. Each year, the Trustees of the Social Security…
Today’s Fed Meeting: No Changes to Interest Rates
The FOMC concluded their monetary policy meeting today, which, as expected, resulted in no change to the fed funds rate—currently targeted to a range of 1.75-2.00%. There were no dissenting votes. The formal narrative again was positive in its assessment…
Are the GDP and Stock Market Correlated?
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report came out last week and showed that the economy grew at a rate of 4.1% last quarter; the highest growth rate in the last 4 years. A common question we get from our clients…
Student Loan Interest Rates Going Up
Do you have a student loan (or two)? Interest rates on federal student loans are set to rise for the second year in a row. This table shows the interest rates for new loans made on or after July 1,…
Q2 2018 | Team Update
Once a quarter, we like to give a team update to let you know what’s going on in our lives both personally and professionally. Here’s what the second quarter of 2018 looked like for us. Taking advantage of all the sunshine we have…
Marion Polk Food Share | Farm to Table
Did you know that one of five people in our community go to bed hungry every night? Marion Polk Food Share is working hard to change that. Their programs range from emergency food supply, managing Meals on Wheels, coordinating incredibly fertile community gardens and…
Q2 2018 | Economic Outlook & Portfolio Overview
Happy summer! The second quarter of this year brought with it some more of the volatility we experienced in Q1. While the market movements weren’t as wide as the first quarter, political rhetoric and interest rate changes continued to keep…
What has happened to productivity?
Productivity continues to be a debated topic, and the subject of both academic and more practical white papers, with no clear-cut conclusion reached, although hopes and expectations for improvement from current low levels are widespread. A recent report by consultant…
Draft 2018 1040 Form
Prior to our client meetings, we send out a brief questionnaire to understand what we can prepare in advance to assure our time together is valuable. In a recent questionnaire, a client asked a great question, “How will the latest tax reform…
Quarterly Commentary | Q2 2018 | Trade Tariffs
Talk About Trade The majority of the market questions we’ve received over the last three months have been on trade. The back and forth between the White House and China (and most recently, Canada and Mexico) have some of you…
Free Workshop for Trustees
In working with their estate planning attorney, many of our clients choose to name a child or other family member as their successor trustee. In most cases, that individual has little to no experience serving in this important capacity. Here’s…
Ways (and Why) to Grow a Roth IRA
You know how when you buy a new car, you suddenly see ‘your’ car everywhere, though you never really noticed it before? That’s what’s been happening with me and the Roth IRA lately. They’ve been around for over 20 years but…
Interest Rates Tick Upward Once Again
The June FOMC meeting concluded with members deciding to raise the fed funds target rate by 0.25%, for the seventh time this cycle, to a new range of 1.75-2.00%. As the probability of this happening was over 95%, in light…
Financial Advice for College Graduates, Part III: Negotiating a Job Offer
Dear Graduates, As you make your way into the workforce, you might feel eager to take on the first job offer that comes your way. But I encourage you to proceed with thought, caution and with the best interests of…
Financial Advice for College Graduates, Part II: Debt Management
Dear College Graduates, Most of you will walk away from your education with more than a diploma. Around 68% of you graduating with a bachelor’s degree are carrying $30,000 in student loan debt. For graduate students, that number is closer to…
Financial Advice for College Graduates, Part I: Investing
Dear College Graduates, This will not be like other advice columns. I won’t condescend, nag, or remind you about irritating millennial or Gen Z stereotypes that you’ve been working to overcome. My goal in this three part series is just to…
Are we in for another round of high oil prices?
Oil prices have a stealthy way of luring investors into the complacency of a trading range, before taking a dramatic turn on the cusp of a single geopolitical factor (often in the Middle East) or variety of coinciding factors. With…
When to Worry About a Recession?
Last week, I sat down with one of my long time clients. She and I were discussing the volatile stock market as of late, and I was sharing with her that corrections and pullbacks are a part of a normal,…
The Fed Makes No Change to Interest Rates This Month
The Fed met today and ended their meeting with a unanimous vote of no action on the interest rate front, as predicted, with the fed funds rate target remaining at 1.50-1.75%. The formal statement showed little change from the March edition,…
New Medicare Cards Are Coming
If you receive Medicare, you will be getting a new Medicare card in the mail. To help prevent fraud and fight identity theft, Medicare is removing Social Security Numbers from Medicare cards. Your new card will have a new Medicare…
Women’s Worth | Financial & Estate Planning Seminar
The first 80 degree day of 2018 and there were still over 50 women who came to learn what they can do to improve their financial and estate plans. This is the second time we’ve co-hosted and co-sponsored this unique event.…
What is the Difference Between Small-cap, Mid-cap and Large-cap?
There are financial terms that, as advisors, we often use as if they are a part of everyday conversation. Some clients will get a bit giddy when we use terms like asset allocation, beta, correlation, and diversification. The other 95%…
The H Group Community Support | Inspired by The Club
Yesterday, while the rest of the staff was busy working, I had the opportunity to attend the annual luncheon supporting the Boys and Girls Club of Salem, Marion and Polk Counties. While I’ve had a long connection the Boys and Girls…
How Meaningful Are These Ongoing Threats of Tariffs?
Market volatility has obviously been ramping up as of late, with one of the catalysts being the announcement of various layers of tariffs by the U.S. administration. This rhetoric has been targeted at China, which has responded with a series…
Empowering the Relationship Between Women and Finances
Women are powerful. They represent the primary breadwinner in 44% of U.S. households and manage over $14 trillion (51%) of wealth today.[1] Even with that kind of influence, the relationship between women and finances isn’t always an empowered one. Only…
Q1 2018 | Team Update
Once a quarter, we like to give a team update to let you know what’s going on in our lives both personally and professionally. Here’s what the first quarter of 2018 looked like for us. Last month, Michelle wrapped up the extensive volunteer…
Quarterly Commentary | Q1 2018 | The Fed, Market Volatility and More
We’ve spent the last 6-12 months telling you to anticipate an increase in market volatility. We have a feeling many of you were recalling those conversations as you rode through the market volatility of the last quarter. For the first time…
Celebrating Spring
On St. Patrick’s Day, we were thrilled to join about 2 dozen other sponsors who gathered to support Liberty House. Their annual Celebrate Spring dinner and auction raises funds to support the important work this organization does. Liberty House is…
Volatility Returns – Part II
Markets were in the news again, with media headlines implying panic selling, akin to what we saw in early February when the market experienced its first correction in years. Headlines especially focus on the drop measured in the number of…
What do bulls and bears have to do with capital markets?
The juxtaposition of a bull and a bear to describe capital markets is thought to have originated in the early 1700’s. Even though several stories exist, there is no definitive answer as to which, if any, is correct. The following…
5 Questions to Test Your Medicare Knowhow
Do you know the difference between Medicare, Medigap and Medicare Advantage? What about supplements A, B, C, D and the rest of the alphabet soup? My parents are approaching Medicare age and late last month, I tagged along to attend…
New Tariffs and Their Potential Impact
At the end of last week, the news was dominated by President Trump’s announcement to implement tariffs on imported steel and aluminum products. This has a lot of us wondering how those tariffs would look in practice. Our on-staff Chartered Financial…
Women of Willamette University
Yesterday, I had the great pleasure of visiting Willamette University. I spoke with a group of brilliant students who were in their third or fourth year. Some of them were looking forward to graduation in June, others were gearing up for…
Client Question: How Should I Finance a Down Payment?
Recently, one of our client families came to us with questions around how best to finance a down payment for their future home. A young couple, their home was perfect back when it was just the two of them. But…
5 (More) Tips to Stay Safe Online
At a recent meeting with one of our long time client families we were asked for some tips on how to best maintain and protect their online profile in this ever changing digital world. “How do we manage all of…
2018 Rotary Auction: Setting the Stage
And a good time was had by all! Last Saturday, our whole team gathered at the Salem Convention Center to support The Salem Rotary Foundation. The annual GoodWorks Auction hosted by our club raises money for the foundation to support local…
Dow Dropped Over 4% – And That’s Okay
For the last several months, the USA Today insert in the local newspaper has had an ever-shrinking, almost non-existent “Money” section. I’d wager to guess that may not be the case in tomorrow’s edition. Today’s news of the Dow Jones…
Janet’s Last Stand
Today, Janet Yellen attended her last meeting of The Fed as chair. As anticipated, it was uneventful with no increase to interest rates for the time being, keeping short-term rates to a targeted range of 1.25-1.50%. New chairperson Jerome Powell…
Paper Files: What to Keep? What to Shred?
As you’re pulling together information to prepare your 2017 tax returns, you might be looking through your paper files wondering, “Do I really need all this?” It’s a good time to revisit the essentials of what you should keep and…
Women’s Worth | Free Financial and Estate Planning Seminar
Our team of financial planners is special. We’re diverse, we’re experienced and we’re of the belief that knowledge is power. Last fall, in partnership with Willamette Valley Hospice and Collier Law, I had the great privilege of speaking to a room full of intelligent women…
Quarterly Commentary and Yearend Review | Q4 2018
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Video: When Will the Bull Market End?
The market highs set in 2017 may have you a bit nervous. How much longer can this bull market go? Here’s Larry’s take.
Is Santa Real?
This weekend, I ran into a couple of experienced mom’s who shared some holiday advice. “Whatever you do, do NOT start the Elf on a Shelf thing,” said one. The other added, “OR let grandma set up an expectation for…
The Rise of Cryptocurrencies
Last month, our team of financial advisors wrote about cryptocurrencies and bitcoins. We gave you an overview on the mysterious investment and highlighted some of the dangers. Today, cryptocurrencies are making headlines again. With exponential gains in bitcoins dollar price (currently…
Reflections on a 35-Year Career with Ron Kelemen
Ron Kelemen and his wife and Kathy retired on November 2, after 35+ years in the financial advisory business. Before they got too far down the retirement path, we interviewed Ron about his years in this industry. How did you…
Getting Into the Holiday Spirit
As a member of our Salem community, we are proud to support a number of deserving organizations, several of which come with the gift of beautiful music. If you’re looking for an event to get you and your family into…
Top 5 Ways Tax Reform Will Impact You
Tax reform took a lurch forward over the weekend with both the House and Senate passing different versions of the bill. You’ll find a lot of similarities between the two: overall tax rates are lower for individuals and businesses, child…
Finding the Best Way to Give
For some of our client families, this time of year means tax planning. For others, we’re focused on how to help them complete the charitable resolutions they set back in January. In today’s blog post we discuss how to achieve…
Raising a Family of Philanthropists
For those with a charitable heart, they know the secret: that the very act of giving makes us happier. They want share that secret with everyone, especially their families. No matter what your family looks like, you can instill values that will…
Inside the Federal Reserve Board
The Federal Reserve Board can seem mysterious. With signs of the stimulus program unwinding and the recent nomination of Jerome Powell to replace Janet Yellen next year as chair of the board, there’s renewed interest in unpacking this opaque government…
Happy Trails, Ron and Kathy
For over 35 years, Ron and Kathy Kelemen have worked in the financial advisory business. Last Thursday marked their final day of work as they join several of our client families in retirement. Check out this fun, surprise video our…
Bitcoins: Should You Use or Invest in Them?
As fee-only-Certified Financial Planners, clients often ask us our opinion about various investments. It seems like we get this question every time there is a new investment fad or a new IPO offering. Because we are investment fiduciaries, we always…
What Biases Affect Your Financial Decisions?
What biases affect your financial decisions? Now that Richard Thaler has won the Nobel Prize in economics for his groundbreaking research in the field of behavioral finance, perhaps we’ll all be more aware of our often-flawed decision making. Dr. Thaler…
Memories and Lessons from the October 1987 Stock Market Crash
With the Dow at over a record 23,000, we just passed the 28th anniversary of the October 19, 1987 stock market crash, in which the Dow fell 508 points, or 22.6% in one day. That would be the equivalent of…
1986 + 32 = Tax Reform in 2018?
As fee-only financial advisors, the fall often means some hands on year-end tax planning for our clients. Couple that with recommendations of early filing in the wake of the Equifax data breach and news of a tax reform proposal, and…
Quarterly Commentary | Q3 2017
The long‐awaited fall is finally upon us. We are pleased to present our review of the third quarter of 2017. Once again, it’s been a good quarter for stocks, except for some rough patches during August. The past 12 months…
Identity Crisis
If you’ve spent the month of September evaluating your online presence and security measures, you’re not alone. The Equifax data breach has served as an unfortunate reminder of just how public our “private” information is. This breach has also rekindled…
More Tips for Identity Safety
Another week has passed since we’ve checked in with you on the Equifax data breach. We hope by now that most of you are starting to feel better about the identity safety measures you have put in place. Aside from the…
Are You Eligible for Student Loan Forgiveness?
Our clients often express concern about the debt that they, their kids or their grandkids are saddled with straight out of college. In the last several years, news about the possibility of student loan forgiveness has surfaced. If ever there…